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Milan, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - AC Milan's midfield duo of Gennaro Gattuso and Alberto Aquilani has been ruled out of Sunday's derby with Inter Milan. Gattuso has been diagnosed with an eye disease called ocular myasthenia, which he picked up while on the club's recent trip to Dubai, while Aquilani is set to miss the next month because of an ankle injury.
Milan enters the derby eight points clear of Inter, which resides in fifth place.
The two-legged showdown in the quarterfinals of the competition will no doubt be a highly-anticipated event, but Madrid goalkeeper Iker Casillas is trying to keep his team focused on Saturday's task.
"We shouldn't obsess about the tie," Casillas told the club's official website when asked about Wednesday's fixture with Barca.
Barca owns a 3-1 win over Real Madrid in December, but Mourinho's side bounced back from that defeat to win its next two league matches by a combined score of 11-3.
Barca hosts mid-table Real Betis on Sunday with the visitors bringing a three- game winning streak into the match, while third-place Valencia tries to stay close to the top two when Los Che hosts Real Sociedad.
Saturday's other fixtures feature Granada hosting Rayo Vallecano in a clash of bottom-half teams, last-place Real Zaragoza entertains Getafe and Sevilla tries to snap a three-game losing streak when Espanyol visits the Sanchez Pizjuan.
Kansas City, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Atlanta Beat picked U.S. national team and UCLA forward Sydney Leroux No. 1 overall in the 2012 Women's Professional Soccer draft Friday. The 21-year-old Leroux scored 30 goals in 36 games for U.S. Under-20 national team from 2008-10. She made her debut for the U.S. senior side last year, when she was also a MAC Hermann Trophy semifinalist as the best college player.
"She is really, really fast; she is skilled; she makes very mature runs for her age, and she puts the ball in the back of the net. She was clearly always going to be our No. 1 pick."
Leroux, a Canadian-American, made her international debut for Canada when she was just 14, appearing at the 2004 FIFA U-19 Women's World Cup and captaining the country's U-15 squad.
Sky Blue FC picked Notre Dame forward Melissa Henderson second, and the Boston Breakers followed with San Diego forward Stephanie Ochs with the third pick.
Inter United Claim Edge With Play >>
Rest Team Name Smash For Finish >>
Titans Tebow Disable Leaving At Falcons >>
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
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